Browsing by Author "Youssef, Youssef M."

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    Integrating Multi-Temporal Land Use/Land Cover Dynamics into GALDIT-Based Seawater Intrusion Vulnerability Assessment for Sustainable Groundwater Management Along the Indian Coastline
    (Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI), 2026-08-06) Subbarayan, Saravanan; Ezhilarasu, Deepack; Đurin, Bojan; Seenipandi, Kaliraj; Gomaa, Ehab; Youssef, Youssef M.; Abd-Elmaboud, Mahmoud E.
    Seawater intrusion (SWI) represents an increasingly critical challenge for coastal groundwater systems, with particularly pronounced impacts observed along the Indian coastline. Coastal aquifers constitute a vital freshwater resource supporting domestic, agricultural, and industrial demands. This study evaluates SWI vulnerability along the entire Indian coast, extending from Gujarat to West Bengal, covering approximately 7517 km of shoreline and up to 100 km inland. The assessment applies the GALDIT vulnerability framework that combines several hydrogeological and hydrochemical criteria such as groundwater occurrence, aquifer hydraulic conductivity, depth to groundwater, distance from shoreline, hydrochemical data, and groundwater quality data. We also assessed the intrusion of existing seawater, shoreline location, and aquifer thickness. However, conventional vulnerability assessments are inherently static and often fail to capture anthropogenic influences. To address this limitation, the present study integrates multi-temporal land use and land cover (LULC) datasets derived from ESA WorldCover remote sensing data for the period 2017–2024. Incorporating LULC dynamics enables a more comprehensive evaluation of the impacts of urban expansion and agricultural intensification on coastal susceptibility to SWI. Accordingly, a modified GALDIT-LU framework is developed to assess the spatiotemporal evolution of coastal vulnerability. The outcomes suggest that huge parts of the Indian coastline are vulnerable to moderate or very high classes, with the very high vulnerability class growing from 13,295 km2 in 2017 to 38,257 km2 in 2024, a 188% increase in vulnerability over the course of seven years. Groundwater chloride concentrations from Central Ground Water Board (CGWB) monitoring well locations have been used for validation over the proposed assessment, and show good spatial agreement between areas identified as high vulnerability and the spatial distribution of groundwater salinity for all three assessment periods, lending support to the robustness and predictive power of the proposed groundwater salinity assessment. The findings carry direct implications for the United Nations 2030 Agenda, demonstrating that the identified vulnerability patterns intersect with critical targets related to clean water and sanitation, food security, public health, climate action, and poverty reduction along one of the world’s most densely populated coastlines. © 2026 by the authors.
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    Soil and Water Assessment Tool-Based Prediction of Runoff Under Scenarios of Land Use/Land Cover and Climate Change Across Indian Agro-Climatic Zones: Implications for Sustainable Development Goals
    (Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI), 2025-02-06) Subbarayan, Saravanan; Youssef, Youssef M.; Singh, Leelambar; Dąbrowska, Dominika; Alarifi, Nassir; Ramsankaran, RAAJ.; Visweshwaran, R; Saqr, Ahmed M.
    Assessing runoff under changing land use/land cover (LULC) and climatic conditions is crucial for achieving effective and sustainable water resource management on a global scale. In this study, the focus was on runoff predictions across three diverse Indian watersheds—Wunna, Bharathapuzha, and Mahanadi—spanning distinct agro-climatic zones to capture varying climatic and hydrological complexities. The soil and water assessment (SWAT) tool was used to simulate future runoff influenced by LULC and climate change and to explore the related sustainability implications, including related challenges and proposing countermeasures through a sustainable action plan (SAP). The methodology integrated high-resolution satellite imagery, the cellular automata (CA)–Markov model for projecting LULC changes, and downscaled climate data under representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5, representing moderate and extreme climate scenarios, respectively. SWAT model calibration and validation demonstrated reliable predictive accuracy, with the coefficient of determination values (R2) > 0.50 confirming the reliability of the SWAT model in simulating hydrological processes. The results indicated significant increases in surface runoff due to urbanization, reaching >1000 mm, 600 mm, and 400 mm in southern Bharathapuzha, southeastern Wunna, and northwestern Mahanadi, respectively, especially by 2040 under RCP 8.5. These findings indicate that water quality, agricultural productivity, and urban infrastructure may be threatened. The proposed SAP includes nature-based solutions, like wetland restoration, and climate-resilient strategies to mitigate adverse effects and partially achieve sustainable development goals (SDGs) related to clean water and climate action. This research provides a robust framework for sustainable watershed management in similar regions worldwide. © 2025 by the authors.